Author Archives: Hellestal

Charity Game Closed

Not a successful run. Again. Closed indefinitely.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Charity Game Closed

Determination 4 (Simplicity)

Before defining a "decision" in the context of a deterministic system, I want to talk about simplicity.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Determination 4 (Simplicity)

Determinism 3

I understand why quantum mechanics always comes up in these discussions. It makes people think of "randomness", which seems to be an alternative to a deterministic view of the universe.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Determinism 3

Determinism 2

Follow the clearly defined rules to find the next box. That is determinism. That is all it is.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Determinism 2

Detour of a Detour: Determinism 1

This is a related topic. What is a deterministic system? Why is it important to have a solid definition of a deterministic system? Or: is there anything to be gained from discussing determinism vs other views of how this universe … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on Detour of a Detour: Determinism 1

A Bayesian Detour 8

After this process was sufficiently well developed, you might look at your new evolved scientist. It's quite possible you wouldn't understand the purpose for practically any of the new code. But what this agent would have developed was newer, better … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A Bayesian Detour 8

A Bayesian Detour 7

This is, I think, one of the most important thought experiments a person can do.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A Bayesian Detour 7

A Bayesian Detour 6

We're getting closer to understand this WTF result.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A Bayesian Detour 6

A Bayesian Detour 5

You can say, "I don't know anything about A, B, or C!" You can say that, but it is very often not true. Just a figure of speech. You know some things about the weight of dead meat. No negative … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A Bayesian Detour 5

A Bayesian Detour 4

The dressed ox weighed in at 1197 pounds. The mean guess of the 800 or so participants was 1196 pounds. A one pound difference. Essentially a perfect guess.

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on A Bayesian Detour 4